Partner opens 1NT, and you transfer to
spades. Question is: Do you now make a game try?
Well, had you opened 3♠, partner would almost certainly have passed with
a balanced 12-14. And opponents haven’t seemed disposed to get involved thus far,
so they’re hardly likely to come in over 3♠.
We can match the tables where South opened 3♠ and played there by
passing 2♠. And if there are only eight tricks available, we’re beating
them.
If North is sitting with three aces and decides to punt 4♠, it’s going
to depend on the ♠K finesse – a 50/50 shot.